Warmth Engine Observatory

Warmth Engine Observatory (WEO)

AI Infrastructure Coordination Dynamics

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Overview

The Warmth Engine Observatory tracks AI infrastructure coordination dynamics across geopolitical blocs through verified events and mapped Coordination Connections.

Scope: WEO tracks systemic AI infrastructure coordination — observable coordination dynamics between major power centres (currently nation-states and geopolitical blocs). This differs from operational AI infrastructure management, which addresses how organisations run their own AI systems.

Live Platform: www.warmthengine.com

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Platform Components

• Event Database — Verified AI infrastructure coordination events classified by tier (Cross-Bloc, Between-Bloc, Intra-Bloc) and domain (Energy/Infrastructure, Security, Technology, Trade), tagged by industry sector (11-category GICS-anchored taxonomy) and assessed for environmental intersections via Environmental Nexus Tags (5-type ENT taxonomy with Warmth Engine Ratio)
• Coordination Connections — Documented relationships between events revealing structural patterns across the database (Policy Cascade, Joint Issuance, Funding Flow, Regulatory Enablement, Response, Framework Family, Parallel Policy)
• Interactive Map — Geographic visualisation of global AI infrastructure deployment
• Interactive Atlas — Network, timeline, and connectedness analytical surface for exploring coordination topology and event relationships via Cytoscape.js
• Evidence-Based Verification — Every event verified through primary and corroborating sources with gold standard evidentiary requirements
• Sovereign Capability Profiles — 7-dimension framework assessing 20 state actors' sovereign control across the AI infrastructure stack, with four designation levels (PAA, AIK, ACS, Participant); includes qualification headlines, constraint summaries, sourced evidence, and severance analysis
• Profiles Page — Standalone /profiles/ page rendering the full SCP panel with dimension filtering, actor detail expansion, and Dimension Watch table
• Dimension Watch — Forward-looking monitoring table identifying actors approaching a designation status change at the next assessment cycle, with trigger conditions and timeline estimates
• Infrastructure Threads — Factual cross-event links documenting where the same AI infrastructure asset (chip or accelerator, energy source, or fabrication facility) appears across multiple verified events, with four link types (fabricated_at, deploys, trains_on, powered_by); toggleable overlay on the Atlas and queryable via get_threads
• Guided Journeys — Operator-curated analytical pathways across three substrates on the Atlas: coordination (directional coordination lineage), hardware (infrastructure thread links), and all layers (fusion traversal spanning coordination, material, and capability layers)
• Coordination Topology — Parent-child coordination backbone mapping directional relationships (Policy Cascade, Funding Flow, Regulatory Enablement, Response) across the event corpus, powering the Atlas network view
• Compute Commitment Register — Verified commitments of computing capacity to societal challenges, one record per publicly documented instrument, assigned to the Challenge List Reference; published as dated observations at /commitments/ and via /api/commitments
• MCP Integration — Model Context Protocol server at warmthengine.com/mcp exposing eighteen programmatic tools for AI systems to query verified Coordination Intelligence (search_events, get_event, get_connections, get_connection_by_id, get_actors, get_coverage_stats, get_methodology, get_topology, traverse_coordination, get_capability_signatures, get_capability_links, get_threads, get_event_stack, query_scp, get_blocs, get_contribution, get_metrics, get_commitments)

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Architecture

The platform uses a decoupled architecture: HTML files serve as lightweight UI shells that fetch data dynamically from the WEO API (Cloudflare Worker + KV).

• Data source: Cloudflare KV via WEO API (warmthengine.com/api/)
• MCP endpoint: warmthengine.com/mcp (Model Context Protocol for AI agent access)
• Authentication: Token-based (?token=weo_xxx) for API and MCP consumers; password header for website
• Fallback: Static JSON file for API downtime resilience
• Hosting: GitHub Pages with custom domain
• Routes: Managed via wrangler.toml (warmthengine.com/api/* and warmthengine.com/mcp*)

Data updates flow through the API — no HTML changes required for new events or connections.

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Methodology Documentation

The WEO methodology is documented across six publications, all available on Zenodo with DOI registration:

Core Documentation

Publication	DOI
WEO Methodology Manual — Operational specification covering event verification, significance assessment, tier classification, domain classification, industry tagging, environmental nexus tagging, and Coordination Connection methodology	10.5281/zenodo.18427565
WEO Methodology Rationale — Companion document providing empirical derivation, theoretical grounding, and calibration justification for all methodology components	10.5281/zenodo.18427582

Methodology Extensions

Publication	DOI
Towards Coordination Science: A Framework for Measuring Geopolitical Coordination Dynamics Through Event Relationship Patterns — Coordination Connection metrics and theoretical foundations (Layer 2 framework)	10.5281/zenodo.18427584
Tier-Crossing Dynamics in Coordination Networks: A Methodology Extension for Cross-Level Connection Analysis — Analytical framework for examining Coordination Connections across different tiers	10.5281/zenodo.18427586
WEO Contribution Architecture — Account of the platform's methodological contributions and their derivation	10.5281/zenodo.21495917
The Compute Commitment Register — Methodology Working Note — Method, Challenge List Reference, and pilot observations for the register of computing capacity committed to societal challenges	10.5281/zenodo.22785950

Self-Hosted Documentation

The V1.5 Manual and Rationale are self-hosted as navigable HTML with granular section anchoring:

• Manual: warmthengine.com/research/methodology/manual/ (490 section anchors)
• Rationale: warmthengine.com/research/methodology/rationale/ (193 section anchors)
• Compute Commitment Register — Methodology Working Note: warmthengine.com/research/compute-commitment-register/ (66 section anchors)
• Errata & Corrigenda: warmthengine.com/research/methodology/errata/ — V1.5 errata and corrigenda (expression corrections and substantive corrections to reported findings, with machine-readable errata.json)

A semantic dictionary (data/weo-methodology-map.json) maps 185 WEO-specific terms to their methodology section anchors, serving both human tooltip navigation and the MCP get_methodology tool.

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Repository Structure

warmth-engine-observatory/
├── index.html                  # Main platform (interactive map)
├── atlas.html                  # Interactive atlas (network/timeline/connectedness)
├── events.html                 # Events database
├── methodology.html            # Methodology overview
├── blocs.html                  # Bloc analysis
├── research.html               # Research publications
├── about.html                  # About WEO
├── support.html                # Supporter access
├── legal.html                  # Legal information
├── 404.html                    # Custom error page
├── events-free.json            # Static fallback (free-tier event data)
├── commitments/
│   └── index.html              # Compute Commitment Register page
├── profiles/
│   └── index.html                  # Sovereign Capability Profiles page (generated)
├── scripts/
│   └── generate_profiles.py        # Profiles page generator (actors JSON → HTML)
├── data/
│   └── weo-methodology-map.json    # 185 term-to-anchor semantic mappings
├── research/
│   └── methodology/
│       ├── errata/                 # V1.5 Errata Register (HTML + errata.json)
│       ├── manual/                 # Self-hosted V1.5 Manual (HTML + PDF)
│       ├── materials-register/     # AI-Critical Materials Register (HTML)
│       └── rationale/              # Self-hosted V1.5 Rationale (HTML + PDF)
├── sitemap.xml                 # XML sitemap for search engines
├── robots.txt                  # Crawler directives
├── og-image.png                # Open Graph social preview image
├── favicon_48x48.png           # Browser tab icon (48px)
├── favicon_32x32.png           # Browser tab icon (32px)
├── favicon_16x16.png           # Browser tab icon (16px)
├── CNAME                       # Custom domain configuration
├── LICENSE.md                  # Licence information
└── README.md                   # This file

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Citation

If using this platform or its methodology in research, please cite:

Warmth Engine Observatory (WEO)
Warmth Engine, 2026
https://www.warmthengine.com
Licensed under CC BY 4.0

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Contact

• Website: warmthengine.com
• Email: [email protected]

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Acknowledgements

This platform uses the following open-source libraries and typefaces:

• Leaflet (BSD-2-Clause) — Interactive map functionality
• Leaflet.markercluster (MIT) — Map marker clustering
• Geist (SIL Open Font Licence) — Primary typeface
• Geist Mono (SIL Open Font Licence) — Monospace typeface
• Cytoscape.js (MIT) — Network graph visualisation (Atlas)

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Licence

Methodology documentation is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International.

The platform, event database, and data products are proprietary.

See LICENSE.md for full details.