Warpgbm Mcp

WarpGBM ⚡

Neural-speed gradient boosting. GPU-native. Distribution-aware. Production-ready.

WarpGBM is a high-performance, GPU-accelerated Gradient Boosted Decision Tree (GBDT) library engineered from silicon up with PyTorch and custom CUDA kernels. Built for speed demons and researchers who refuse to compromise.

🎯 What Sets WarpGBM Apart

Regression + Classification Unified
Train on continuous targets or multiclass labels with the same blazing-fast infrastructure.

Invariant Learning (DES Algorithm)
The only open-source GBDT that natively learns signals stable across shifting distributions. Powered by Directional Era-Splitting — because your data doesn't live in a vacuum.

GPU-Accelerated Everything
Custom CUDA kernels for binning, histograms, splits, and inference. No compromises, no CPU bottlenecks.

Scikit-Learn Compatible
Drop-in replacement. Same API you know, 10x the speed you need.

---

🚀 Quick Start

Installation

# Latest from GitHub (recommended)
pip install git+https://github.com/jefferythewind/warpgbm.git

# Stable from PyPI
pip install warpgbm

Prerequisites: PyTorch with CUDA support (install guide)

Regression in 5 Lines

from warpgbm import WarpGBM
import numpy as np

model = WarpGBM(objective='regression', max_depth=5, n_estimators=100)
model.fit(X_train, y_train)
predictions = model.predict(X_test)

Classification in 5 Lines

from warpgbm import WarpGBM

model = WarpGBM(objective='multiclass', max_depth=5, n_estimators=50)
model.fit(X_train, y_train)  # y can be integers, strings, whatever
probabilities = model.predict_proba(X_test)
labels = model.predict(X_test)

---

🎮 Features

Core Engine

• ⚡ GPU-native CUDA kernels for histogram building, split finding, binning, and prediction
• 🎯 Multi-objective support: regression, binary, multiclass classification
• 📊 Pre-binned data optimization — skip binning if your data's already quantized
• 🔥 Mixed precision support — float32 or int8 inputs
• 🎲 Stochastic features — colsample_bytree for regularization

Intelligence

• 🧠 Invariant learning via DES — identifies signals that generalize across time/regimes/environments
• 📈 Smart initialization — class priors for classification, mean for regression
• 🎯 Automatic label encoding — handles strings, integers, whatever you throw at it
• 🔍 Feature importance — gain-based importance with unique per-era tracking

Training Utilities

• ✅ Early stopping with validation sets
• 📊 Rich metrics: MSE, RMSLE, correlation, log loss, accuracy
• 🔍 Progress tracking with loss curves
• 🎚️ Regularization — L2 leaf penalties, min split gain, min child weight
• 💾 Warm start & checkpointing — save/load models, incremental training

---

⚔️ Benchmarks

Synthetic Data: 1M Rows × 1K Features (Google Colab L4 GPU)

   WarpGBM:   corr = 0.8882, train = 17.4s, infer = 3.2s  ⚡
   XGBoost:   corr = 0.8877, train = 33.2s, infer = 8.0s
  LightGBM:   corr = 0.8604, train = 29.8s, infer = 1.6s
  CatBoost:   corr = 0.8935, train = 392.1s, infer = 379.2s

2× faster than XGBoost. 23× faster than CatBoost.

→ Run the benchmark yourself

Multiclass Classification: 3.5K Samples, 3 Classes, 50 Rounds

Training:   2.13s
Inference:  0.37s
Accuracy:   75.3%

Production-ready multiclass at neural network speeds.

---

📖 Examples

Regression: Beat LightGBM on Your Laptop

import numpy as np
from sklearn.datasets import make_regression
from warpgbm import WarpGBM

# Generate data
X, y = make_regression(n_samples=100_000, n_features=500, random_state=42)
X, y = X.astype(np.float32), y.astype(np.float32)

# Train
model = WarpGBM(
    objective='regression',
    max_depth=5, 
    n_estimators=100, 
    learning_rate=0.01,
    num_bins=32
)
model.fit(X, y)

# Predict
preds = model.predict(X)
print(f"Correlation: {np.corrcoef(preds, y)[0,1]:.4f}")

Classification: Multiclass with Early Stopping

from sklearn.datasets import make_classification
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from warpgbm import WarpGBM

# 5-class problem
X, y = make_classification(
    n_samples=10_000, 
    n_features=50,
    n_classes=5, 
    n_informative=30
)

X_train, X_val, y_train, y_val = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2)

model = WarpGBM(
    objective='multiclass',
    max_depth=6,
    n_estimators=200,
    learning_rate=0.1,
    num_bins=32
)

model.fit(
    X_train, y_train,
    X_eval=X_val, y_eval=y_val,
    eval_every_n_trees=10,
    early_stopping_rounds=5,
    eval_metric='logloss'
)

# Get probabilities or class predictions
probs = model.predict_proba(X_val)  # shape: (n_samples, n_classes)
labels = model.predict(X_val)        # class labels

Invariant Learning: Distribution-Robust Signals

# Your data spans multiple time periods/regimes/environments
# Pass era_id to learn only signals that work across ALL eras

model = WarpGBM(
    objective='regression',
    max_depth=8,
    n_estimators=100
)

model.fit(
    X, y, 
    era_id=era_labels  # Array marking which era each sample belongs to
)

# Now your model ignores spurious correlations that don't generalize!

Feature Importance: Understand Your Model

from warpgbm import WarpGBM
from sklearn.datasets import load_iris

# Train a model
iris = load_iris()
X, y = iris.data, iris.target

model = WarpGBM(objective='multiclass', max_depth=5, n_estimators=100)
model.fit(X, y)

# Get feature importance (normalized)
importances = model.get_feature_importance()
for name, imp in zip(iris.feature_names, importances):
    print(f"{name}: {imp:.4f}")

# Output:
# sepal length (cm): 0.0002
# sepal width (cm): 0.0007
# petal length (cm): 0.1997
# petal width (cm): 0.7994

Per-Era Feature Importance (Unique to WarpGBM!)

When training with era_id, see which features are stable across environments:

# Train with eras
model.fit(X, y, era_id=era_labels)

# Get per-era importance: shape (n_eras, n_features)
per_era_imp = model.get_per_era_feature_importance()

# Identify invariant features (high importance across ALL eras)
invariant_features = per_era_imp.min(axis=0) > threshold

Warm Start: Incremental Training & Checkpointing

Train a model in stages, save checkpoints, and resume training later:

from warpgbm import WarpGBM
import numpy as np

# Train 50 trees
model = WarpGBM(
    objective='regression',
    n_estimators=50,
    max_depth=5,
    learning_rate=0.1,
    warm_start=True  # Enable incremental training
)
model.fit(X, y)
predictions_50 = model.predict(X_test)

# Save checkpoint
model.save_model('checkpoint_50.pkl')

# Continue training for 50 more trees (total: 100)
model.n_estimators = 100
model.fit(X, y)  # Adds 50 trees on top of existing 50
predictions_100 = model.predict(X_test)

# Or load and continue training later
model_loaded = WarpGBM()
model_loaded.load_model('checkpoint_50.pkl')
model_loaded.warm_start = True
model_loaded.n_estimators = 100
model_loaded.fit(X, y)  # Resumes from 50 → 100 trees

Use Cases:

• Hyperparameter tuning: Train to 50 trees, evaluate, decide if you need 100 or 200
• Checkpointing: Save progress during long training runs
• Iterative development: Add more trees without retraining from scratch
• Production updates: Retrain models incrementally as new data arrives

Pre-binned Data: Maximum Speed (Numerai Example)

import pandas as pd
from numerapi import NumerAPI
from warpgbm import WarpGBM

# Download Numerai data (already quantized to integers)
napi = NumerAPI()
napi.download_dataset('v5.0/train.parquet', 'train.parquet')
train = pd.read_parquet('train.parquet')

features = [f for f in train.columns if 'feature' in f]
X = train[features].astype('int8').values
y = train['target'].values

# WarpGBM detects pre-binned data and skips binning
model = WarpGBM(max_depth=5, n_estimators=100, num_bins=20)
model.fit(X, y)  # Blazing fast!

Result: 13× faster than LightGBM on Numerai data (49s vs 643s)

---

🧠 Invariant Learning: Why It Matters

Most ML models assume your training and test data come from the same distribution. Reality check: they don't.

• Stock prices shift with market regimes
• User behavior changes over time
• Experimental data varies by batch/site/condition

Traditional GBDT: Learns any signal that correlates with the target, including fragile patterns that break OOD.

WarpGBM with DES: Explicitly tests if each split generalizes across ALL environments (eras). Only keeps robust signals.

The Algorithm

For each potential split, compute gain separately in each era. Only accept splits where:

1. Gain is positive in ALL eras
2. Split direction is consistent across eras

This prevents overfitting to spurious correlations that only work in some time periods or environments.

Visual Intuition

Left: Standard training pools all data together — learns any signal that correlates.
Right: Era-aware training demands signals work across all periods — learns robust features only.

Research Foundation

• Invariant Risk Minimization: Arjovsky et al., 2019
• Hard-to-Vary Explanations: Parascandolo et al., 2020
• Era Splitting for Trees: DeLise, 2023

---

📚 API Reference

Constructor Parameters

WarpGBM(
    objective='regression',        # 'regression', 'binary', or 'multiclass'
    num_bins=10,                   # Histogram bins for feature quantization
    max_depth=3,                   # Maximum tree depth
    learning_rate=0.1,             # Shrinkage rate (aka eta)
    n_estimators=100,              # Number of boosting rounds
    min_child_weight=20,           # Min sum of instance weights in child node
    min_split_gain=0.0,            # Min loss reduction to split
    L2_reg=1e-6,                   # L2 leaf regularization
    colsample_bytree=1.0,          # Feature subsample ratio per tree
    random_state=None,             # Random seed for reproducibility
    warm_start=False,              # If True, continue training from existing trees
    threads_per_block=64,          # CUDA block size (tune for your GPU)
    rows_per_thread=4,             # Rows processed per thread
    device='cuda'                  # 'cuda' or 'cpu' (GPU strongly recommended)
)

Training Methods

model.fit(
    X,                              # Features: np.array shape (n_samples, n_features)
    y,                              # Target: np.array shape (n_samples,)
    era_id=None,                    # Optional: era labels for invariant learning
    X_eval=None,                    # Optional: validation features
    y_eval=None,                    # Optional: validation targets  
    eval_every_n_trees=None,        # Eval frequency (in rounds)
    early_stopping_rounds=None,     # Stop if no improvement for N evals
    eval_metric='mse'               # 'mse', 'rmsle', 'corr', 'logloss', 'accuracy'
)

Prediction & Utility Methods

# Regression: returns predicted values
predictions = model.predict(X)

# Classification: returns class labels (decoded)
labels = model.predict(X)

# Classification: returns class probabilities
probabilities = model.predict_proba(X)  # shape: (n_samples, n_classes)

# Feature importance: gain-based (like LightGBM/XGBoost)
importances = model.get_feature_importance(normalize=True)  # sums to 1.0
raw_gains = model.get_feature_importance(normalize=False)   # raw gain values

# Per-era importance (when era_id was used in training)
per_era_imp = model.get_per_era_feature_importance(normalize=True)  # shape: (n_eras, n_features)

# Save and load models
model.save_model('checkpoint.pkl')  # Saves all model state
model_loaded = WarpGBM()
model_loaded.load_model('checkpoint.pkl')  # Restores everything

Attributes

model.classes_                    # Unique class labels (classification only)
model.num_classes                 # Number of classes (classification only)
model.forest                      # Trained tree structures
model.training_loss               # Training loss history
model.eval_loss                   # Validation loss history (if eval set provided)
model.feature_importance_         # Feature importance (sum across eras)
model.per_era_feature_importance_ # Per-era feature importance (when era_id used)

---

🔧 Installation Details

Linux / macOS (Recommended)

pip install git+https://github.com/jefferythewind/warpgbm.git

Compiles CUDA extensions using your local PyTorch + CUDA setup.

Colab / Mismatched CUDA Versions

pip install warpgbm --no-build-isolation

Windows

git clone https://github.com/jefferythewind/warpgbm.git
cd warpgbm
python setup.py bdist_wheel
pip install dist/warpgbm-*.whl

---

🎯 Use Cases

Financial ML: Learn signals that work across market regimes
Time Series: Robust forecasting across distribution shifts
Scientific Research: Models that generalize across experimental batches
High-Speed Inference: Production systems with millisecond SLAs
Kaggle/Competitions: GPU-accelerated hyperparameter tuning
Multiclass Problems: Image classification fallback, text categorization, fraud detection

---

🚧 Roadmap

• Multi-GPU training support
• SHAP value computation on GPU
• Feature interaction constraints
• Monotonic constraints
• Custom loss functions
• Distributed training
• ONNX export for deployment

---

🙏 Acknowledgements

Built on the shoulders of PyTorch, scikit-learn, LightGBM, XGBoost, and the CUDA ecosystem. Special thanks to the GBDT research community and all contributors.

---

📝 Version History

v2.2.0 (Current)

• 💾 Warm start support for incremental training (closes #14)
• 📦 save_model() and load_model() methods for checkpointing
• 🔄 Resume training from saved models with warm_start=True
• ✅ Comprehensive test suite for warm start and save/load functionality
• 📚 Updated documentation with warm start examples

v2.1.1

• 🎲 random_state parameter for reproducible results (closes #12)
• 🔧 Controls randomness in feature subsampling (colsample_bytree)
• ✅ Comprehensive reproducibility tests

v2.1.0

• 🔍 Feature importance with gain-based tracking and unique per-era analysis
• 📊 get_feature_importance() and get_per_era_feature_importance() methods
• ✅ Comprehensive test suite comparing with LightGBM
• 📚 Updated documentation with feature importance examples

v2.0.0

• ✨ Multiclass classification support via softmax objective
• 🎯 Binary classification mode
• 📊 New metrics: log loss, accuracy
• 🏷️ Automatic label encoding (supports strings)
• 🔮 predict_proba() for probability outputs
• ✅ Comprehensive test suite for classification
• 🔒 Full backward compatibility with regression
• 🐛 Fixed unused variable issue (#8)
• 🧹 Removed unimplemented L1_reg parameter
• 📚 Major documentation overhaul with AGENT_GUIDE.md

v1.0.0

• 🧠 Invariant learning via Directional Era-Splitting (DES)
• 🚀 VRAM optimizations
• 📈 Era-aware histogram computation

v0.1.26

• 🐛 Memory bug fixes in prediction
• 📊 Added correlation eval metric

v0.1.25

• 🎲 Feature subsampling (colsample_bytree)

v0.1.23

• ⏹️ Early stopping support
• ✅ Validation set evaluation

v0.1.21

• ⚡ CUDA prediction kernel (replaced vectorized Python)

---

📄 License

MIT License - see LICENSE file

---

🤝 Contributing

Pull requests welcome! See AGENT_GUIDE.md for architecture details and development guidelines.

---

Built with 🔥 by @jefferythewind

"Train smarter. Predict faster. Generalize better."