About forecast-modeling
forecast-modeling is a skill for designing and reviewing forecasting methods, assumptions, and scenarios. It is intended for teams establishing forecast cycles, planning budgets, or comparing forecasts with pipeline and actual results.
Key features
- 01Bottom-up, top-down, cohort, and blended methods
- 02Mapping business drivers to KPIs
- 03Tunable base, upside, and downside scenarios
- 04Data sources, refresh, validation, and ownership governance
- 05Driver trees, scenario sheets, and QA checklists
Use cases
- 01Setting up or revising a forecasting cadence
- 02Planning scenarios before board meetings or budget cycles
- 03Auditing forecast differences against pipeline and actuals
Install
Copy the command and run it in a terminal.
$
npx skills add https:/ / github.com/ gtmagents/ gtm-agents --skill forecast-modelingAfter installing, type/forecast-modelingin Claude Code to confirm it loaded.
Details
From the project READMEForecast Modeling System Skill
When to Use
- Launching new forecasting cadences or revisiting methodology.
- Running scenario planning ahead of board meetings or budget cycles.
- Auditing deviations between forecast, pipeline, and actuals.
Framework
- Method Selection – pick bottom-up CRM, top-down macro, cohort, or blended models and document assumptions.
- Driver Mapping – define win rates, velocity, expansion, churn, pricing, and seasonality inputs.
- Scenario Logic – establish base/upside/downside cases with tunable levers for sensitivity analysis.
- Model Governance – list data sources, refresh cadence, validation checks, and ownership.
- Output Packaging – standardize tables, charts, and narrative prompts for exec review.
Templates
- Driver tree diagram connecting levers to KPIs.
- Scenario sheet (assumption → base/upside/downside values).
- Model QA checklist (data freshness, formula audits, version history).
Tips
- Keep raw inputs + assumptions in version control for auditability.
- Pair with
variance-analysisskill to recalibrate after each cycle. - Automate sensitivity runs to answer "what-if" questions during reviews.
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